Pre-tourney Rankings
Morehead St.
Ohio Valley
2010-11
Overall
Predictive Rating+4.5#98
Expected Predictive Rating+3.8#114
Pace64.2#262
Improvement+1.2#121

Offense
Total Offense+2.2#97
Improvement+0.1#173

Defense
Total Defense+2.2#99
Improvement+1.1#110
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 13.9 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round12.8% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen3.2% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.4% n/a n/a
Final Four0.1% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 14 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 14, 2010 297   N.C. A&T W 84-61 93%     1 - 0 +11.1 -5.5 -5.3
  Nov 18, 2010 213   @ UNC Wilmington L 58-60 66%     1 - 1 -1.8 -0.1 +0.2
  Nov 21, 2010 18   @ Florida L 55-61 13%     1 - 2 +10.8 +7.7 +8.8
  Nov 23, 2010 1   @ Ohio St. L 45-64 4%     1 - 3 +5.6 +11.0 +12.6
  Nov 28, 2010 341   @ SIU Edwardsville W 83-64 96%     2 - 3 +3.6 -7.2 -7.4
  Dec 02, 2010 300   Tennessee Martin W 70-49 93%     3 - 3 1 - 0 +9.0 -6.2 -4.8
  Dec 04, 2010 134   Murray St. W 75-65 70%     4 - 3 2 - 0 +9.0 +0.0 -0.5
  Dec 11, 2010 127   @ Northern Iowa L 53-69 45%     4 - 4 -10.2 +2.7 +2.1
  Dec 19, 2010 240   @ Tennessee St. L 64-70 OT 71%     4 - 5 2 - 1 -7.3 -1.2 -0.4
  Dec 21, 2010 147   @ Austin Peay L 85-86 OT 50%     4 - 6 2 - 2 +3.5 +3.0 +1.4
  Dec 28, 2010 111   Kent St. W 76-59 66%     5 - 6 +17.3 +0.6 +0.5
  Dec 30, 2010 308   Binghamton W 80-74 94%     6 - 6 -6.9 -5.8 -6.8
  Jan 02, 2011 80   College of Charleston W 69-49 56%     7 - 6 +22.9 +1.4 +2.5
  Jan 06, 2011 207   Tennessee Tech W 76-64 84%     8 - 6 3 - 2 +6.0 -3.0 -2.4
  Jan 08, 2011 284   Jacksonville St. W 73-52 92%     9 - 6 4 - 2 +10.1 -5.2 -4.7
  Jan 13, 2011 299   @ Southeast Missouri St. W 76-63 83%     10 - 6 5 - 2 +7.4 -2.6 -2.4
  Jan 15, 2011 298   @ Eastern Illinois L 40-47 83%     10 - 7 5 - 3 -12.6 -3.9 -2.0
  Jan 22, 2011 244   Eastern Kentucky L 49-59 87%     10 - 8 5 - 4 -17.8 -5.0 -3.3
  Jan 24, 2011 167   @ Ball St. W 50-48 56%     11 - 8 +5.0 +1.2 +2.0
  Jan 27, 2011 240   Tennessee St. W 72-65 87%     12 - 8 6 - 4 -0.7 -3.4 -4.0
  Jan 29, 2011 147   Austin Peay W 69-56 73%     13 - 8 7 - 4 +11.2 -0.8 -0.4
  Feb 03, 2011 284   @ Jacksonville St. W 78-72 80%     14 - 8 8 - 4 +1.5 -1.8 -2.4
  Feb 05, 2011 207   @ Tennessee Tech W 76-60 66%     15 - 8 9 - 4 +16.4 +0.1 +0.9
  Feb 10, 2011 298   Eastern Illinois W 81-65 93%     16 - 8 10 - 4 +4.1 -5.6 -5.6
  Feb 12, 2011 299   Southeast Missouri St. W 64-52 93%     17 - 8 11 - 4 +0.0 -6.1 -5.2
  Feb 16, 2011 244   @ Eastern Kentucky W 76-68 OT 72%     18 - 8 12 - 4 +6.5 -0.5 -0.6
  Feb 19, 2011 118   @ Indiana St. W 71-65 44%     19 - 8 +12.2 +3.4 +3.0
  Feb 24, 2011 134   @ Murray St. L 62-70 47%     19 - 9 12 - 5 -2.7 +2.3 +2.7
  Feb 26, 2011 300   @ Tennessee Martin W 77-64 83%     20 - 9 13 - 5 +7.4 -2.6 -2.4
  Mar 04, 2011 147   Austin Peay W 68-49 62%     21 - 9 +20.3 +0.8 +1.5
  Mar 05, 2011 207   Tennessee Tech W 80-73 76%     22 - 9 +4.2 -1.3 -1.3
Projected Record 22.0 - 9.0 13.0 - 5.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ohio Valley Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 0.0%
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 13.9 0.0 22.5 64.3 13.3
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 13.9 0.0 22.5 64.3 13.3